Using the Moody’s.com Precis outlook for your chosen metro, summarize the economy and outlook. Your ultimate objective is to evaluate whether your chosen metro is a good location for real estate investment or development and what sector(s) is likely to perform best.  I will provide the outline. 4 page( limited to 1000 words )Metro Summary and Outlook Assignment

Real Estate Economics & Market Analysis
– 10 Points –

Using the Moody’s.com Precis outlook for your chosen metro, summarize the economy and outlook. Your ultimate objective is to evaluate whether your chosen metro is a good location for real estate investment or development and what sector(s) is likely to perform best. Summaries should cover:

1) Metro Market Demographics
a) Location
b) Population Size and Growth
c) Incomes and Growth

2) Economy
a) GDP Size and Growth Rate
b) Strengths and Weaknesses
c) Business Cycle and Employment
d) Credit Rating
e) Economic Diversity
i) Economic Bases
ii) Technology and Media
iii) Measures of Diversity and Volatility

3) Local Government
a) Active Involvement in Economic Development
b) Development of Local and Tourist Attractions

4) Connectivity and Quality of Life
a) Cost of Living
b) Vitality Index
c) Locational Advantages including Infrastructure

5) Implications for Real Estate Cycle and Performance

Summaries are limited to 1000 words. Due before class OCT 51-866-275-3266
help@economy.com

ANALYSIS

VITALITYRELATIVE COSTS
LIVING BUSINESS RELATIVE OF LIFE

Best=1, Worst=378Best=1, Worst=403

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

U.S.=100%

SHORT TERM

FORECAST RISKS

LONG TERM

RISK EXPOSURE
2019-2024

BUSINESS CYCLE STATUS

MOODY’S RATING

ECONOMIC DRIVERS

Highest=1
Lowest=403

EMPLOYMENT GROWTH RANK

Best=1, Worst=410

2018-2020 2018-2023
QUALITY

MOODY’S ANALYTICS / Précis® U.S. Metro / November 2019

HIGH TECH

FINANCIAL

CENTER

$ £ €

MEDICAL

CENTER

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 INDICATORS 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
163.1 173.5 186.6 198.9 214.0 230.8 Gross metro product (C12$ bil) 239.6 243.9 249.2 257.3 263.4 269.1
7.4 6.4 7.5 6.6 7.6 7.9 % change 3.8 1.8 2.2 3.3 2.3 2.2
953.6 995.6 1,044.2 1,086.2 1,111.1 1,144.0 Total employment (ths) 1,184.0 1,200.3 1,199.6 1,211.7 1,219.8 1,226.2
3.8 4.4 4.9 4.0 2.3 3.0 % change 3.5 1.4 -0.1 1.0 0.7 0.5
5.4 4.3 3.5 3.2 2.8 2.3 Unemployment rate (%) 2.2 2.4 3.4 4.0 4.2 4.3
1.7 10.3 10.1 6.1 6.8 5.1 Personal income growth (%) 3.8 6.2 4.3 6.2 5.7 5.5
84.8 90.8 98.3 105.2 112.8 117.6 Median household income ($ ths) 121.3 128.2 132.7 138.3 144.2 150.4
1,588.9 1,608.8 1,629.3 1,641.0 1,648.0 1,652.9 Population (ths) 1,660.0 1,670.0 1,681.2 1,693.2 1,705.7 1,718.3
1.3 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.3 % change 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
12.7 12.0 12.7 4.1 0.8 -0.8 Net migration (ths) 0.8 3.2 4.3 5.1 5.6 5.7
417 406 626 550 405 348 Single-family permits (#) 347 594 793 1,032 1,051 1,020
5,007 3,766 4,659 5,512 5,211 5,946 Multifamily permits (#) 3,769 3,322 3,801 4,031 3,982 3,929
281.6 321.9 362.2 395.9 424.1 472.3 FHFA house price (1995Q1=100) 474.3 499.4 544.2 595.6 649.5 708.9

Recent Performance. The economy of San
Francisco-Redwood City-South San Francisco
is strong with an unemployment rate hover-
ing around historic lows even as the labor
force expands. Although the Quarterly Census
of Employment and Wages—which provides
a comprehensive headcount compared with
a survey on the monthly jobs data—indicates
that the monthly survey is overestimating
employment growth by about 0.5 percent-
age point, job growth is still easily besting the
state and national averages and is as strong as
it has been since 2016. Residential permitting
is little changed in the past few years, as build-
ers face capacity constraints.

Feeding the beast. Technology firms will
remain the driving force behind the SAF econ-
omy, and the Bay Area in general will persist
as the preeminent tech hub. Even as some
firms, both large and small, opt to relocate to
cheaper locales, workforce quality, abundant
venture capital, and an entrepreneurial culture
will have lasting appeal. Also, a new trend is
emerging: startups that serve startups. Players
in this arena include such companies as Brex,
Carta and Guideline, which provide financial
services to other startups.

Venture capital funding in 2019 was likely
down slightly from last year, not only in SAF 1-866-275-3266
help@economy.com

ANALYSIS

VITALITYRELATIVE COSTS
LIVING BUSINESS RELATIVE OF LIFE

Best=1, Worst=378Best=1, Worst=403

STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

U.S.=100%

SHORT TERM

FORECAST RISKS

LONG TERM

RISK EXPOSURE
2019-2024

BUSINESS CYCLE STATUS

MOODY’S RATING

ECONOMIC DRIVERS

Highest=1
Lowest=403

EMPLOYMENT GROWTH RANK

Best=1, Worst=410

2018-2020 2018-2023
QUALITY

MOODY’S ANALYTICS / Précis® U.S. Metro / November 2019

FINANCIAL

CENTER

$ £ €

TOURIST

DESTINATION

MEDICAL

CENTER

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 INDICATORS 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
1,021.1 1,042.6 1,062.0 1,078.3 1,104.9 1,124.9 Gross metro product (C12$ bil) 1,145.6 1,161.2 1,176.3 1,205.8 1,228.1 1,249.9
0.2 2.1 1.9 1.5 2.5 1.8 % change 1.8 1.4 1.3 2.5 1.9 1.8
6,410.8 6,578.5 6,746.0 6,880.3 7,006.8 7,120.1 Total employment (ths) 7,210.3 7,236.5 7,212.6 7,251.7 7,274.8 7,294.6
1.9 2.6 2.5 2.0 1.8 1.6 % change 1.3 0.4 -0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3
8.3 6.8 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 Unemployment rate (%) 3.8 4.0 4.9 5.2 5.3 5.3
1.7 5.0 4.5 3.9 6.7 5.8 Personal income growth (%) 4.1 2.9 2.4 4.2 3.8 3.6
60.2 61.4 63.3 65.9 69.2 71.7 Median household income ($ ths) 71.9 73.8 75.5 78.0 80.4 82.7
14,169.7 14,224.6 14,270.3 14,290.2 14,267.9 14,242.8 Population (ths) 14,236.2 14,228.7 14,233.2 14,261.7 14,295.6 14,328.2
0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 -0.2 -0.2 % change -0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2
-18.9 -36.1 -44.8 -70.5 -99.6 -95.2 Net migration (ths) -80.1 -85.0 -73.3 -48.9 -42.8 -43.3
6,447 7,270 6,823 6,637 7,212 6,989 Single-family permits (#) 7,670 8,061 10,792 13,388 13,406 12,986
25,857 30,011 67,017 27,073 33,942 32,008 Multifamily permits (#) 32,573 22,365 25,226 26,596 26,153 25,758
218.4 225.1 233.8 242.7 255.1 268.2 FHFA house price (1995Q1=100) 276.6 287.6 300.0 312.1 325.6 342.0

Recent Performance. The New York City-Jer-
sey City-White Plains economy is screeching to a
halt. Payrolls have flattened since the beginning
of the year, and the falling unemployment rate
reflects a shrinking labor force. The tight labor
market has put upward pressure on wages, but
this only exacerbates NEY’s cost disadvantage.
Finance has slowed most dramatically this year
and consumer industries are beginning to falter
as well, spelling downward pressure on high- and
low-wage industries. Fortunately, healthcare is
keeping NEY above water. The housing market
remains stagnant, with both single-family and
condo prices moving sideways or lower and mul-
tifamily building well below its mid-decade peak.

Wall Street. The outlook for NEY’s pivotal fi-
nancial services industry is cloudy. Although the
rate of job losses will slow, obstacles for banks in the
Big Apple are mounting. The trade war, an inverted
yield curve for much of 2019, and less accommoda-
tive monetary policy are all making investors ner-
vous. And while banks’ bottom lines have recovered
from their December 2018 swoon, the state comp-
troller reports that the pool for Wall Street bonuses
is




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